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Old 11-25-2013, 11:27 PM   #1
XDCX
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Cool Predict the number of 2014 Jeep Cherokees sold in November and Win!

Predict the number of 2014 Jeep Cherokees sold in November and Win!






Well it's been awhile since we've had a contest on DealershipForum that allowed our members to demonstrate their knowledge of the retail car market and win an award.

The challenge for this contest will be to predict the total number of 2014 Jeep Cherokees sold in the United States for the month of November, 2014. (Retail sales plus Fleet sales)

In many ways the launch of the 2014 Jeep Cherokee is unique because the initial production vehicles were in containment for two months and then released to the dealers in one huge wave. By contrast, most new vehicle launches result in the dealers only receiving a trickle of new inventory while the assembly plant ramps up production.

Will the containment issue help or hinder the sales of the 2014 Jeep Cherokee in November? Time will tell....

I'm still working on the contest rules and the award details. I'll lock this thread for now and re-open it for participation once I've laid out the Contest Rules in post #2 and the Award Details in post #3.
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Old 11-25-2013, 11:38 PM   #2
XDCX
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Default Official Program Rules

Official Program Rules

The award detailed in post #3 of this thread will be presented to our member who most closely guesses the total number of 2014 Jeep Cherokees sold in the U.S. for the month of November, 2014.

Here are the details:
  • Closest guess to the number of 2014 Jeep Cherokees sold in the U.S. (over or under) for the month of November, 2014 as reported by Chrysler will be the winner.
  • Total sales volume includes both Retail and Fleet sales.
  • In the event of a tie, the earliest entry will be the winner.
  • Members can enter more than once but only the last entry will be considered for the contest.
  • Entries for the contest will be accepted until 12/01/13 at 11:59 PM East Coast Time - Now extended until 12/02/13 at 11:59 PM East Coast Time
.

Last edited by XDCX; 12-01-2013 at 07:50 PM. Reason: Extended contest period for 24 hours
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Old 11-25-2013, 11:53 PM   #3
XDCX
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Default Award Details - Win up to a $100 Gift Card

Our member who has the closest guess (over or under) will win a $25 Gift Card for whatever company/product they choose.




But wait, there's more.....

As an added incentive, if the member who has the correct guess has added a post to at least one other thread on DealershipForum during the contest period I'll double the about of the Gift Card to $50.

But wait, there's even more.....

As an additional added incentive, if the member who has the correct guess has created at least one other thread on DealershipForum during the contest period I'll double the about of the Gift Card to $100.

For extra clarification.....

Said another way, if you're the winner, you could win as little as $25 or as much as $100. If you want to maximize your potential winnings respond to any other existing thread on the forum with a new post and then create a new thread between now and the end of the contest period.
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Old 11-26-2013, 12:00 AM   #4
XDCX
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Smile The contest is now open.

The thread is now open.

To enter your prediction all you have to do is enter a post with your guess.
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Old 11-26-2013, 04:27 AM   #5
mr4t60e
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My guess is 4035.
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Old 11-26-2013, 05:20 AM   #6
steve_biegler
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WOW 2:00 AM, I'm impressed.....you must have had some of that Starbucks!
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Old 11-26-2013, 10:37 AM   #7
tnpartsguy
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Default My Guess

Retail delivieres only? 3737
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Old 11-26-2013, 10:56 AM   #8
XDCX
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Quote:
Originally Posted by steve_biegler View Post
WOW 2:00 AM, I'm impressed.....you must have had some of that Starbucks!
It was only 1:00 AM in Seattle....

I had planned on creating the thread over the weekend but I ran out of time working on some other projects so I figured I had better get it done last night.

Tonight I'll work on sending an email message to our members letting them know about the contest and hopefully generate some more traffic (and posts/threads) for the forum.
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Old 11-26-2013, 11:10 AM   #9
XDCX
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tnpartsguy View Post
Retail delivieres only? 3737
You'll probably want to adjust your estimate to include Fleet Sales too.

Unfortunately, Chrysler (like most OEMs) doesn't break-out their vehicle sales by retail and fleet when they release their sales results. The only number they publish is their total sales by vehicle line.

I'm sure many of our members have sources within their Business Center or Auburn Hills that could provide the actual retail sales for the 2014 Cherokee, but I'd rather rely on a published number for the purposes of this contest.
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Old 11-26-2013, 12:41 PM   #10
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Default Some helpful information from the Toledo Blade

For those of you who are still formulating your guess, here's a link to a report from the Toledo Blade that might be helpful - click here

According to the report Chrysler sold just under 600 Jeep Cherokees last month and they built just under 36,000 through October.
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Old 11-26-2013, 03:38 PM   #11
AR2
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I'm going to lower my expectations from another thread and say 5,500.
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Old 11-26-2013, 04:31 PM   #12
XDCX
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Default Some more helpful information direct from Chrysler Group LLC

Here's a link to Chrysler's U.S. Sales Results for October, 2013 - click here

By way of comparison, here's how the Jeep models fared for October, 2013:
  • Liberty = 0
  • Cherokee = 579
  • Compass = 4,176
  • Patriot = 5,581
  • Wrangler = 11,780
  • Grand Cherokee = 14,263
Note: This is the same source that will be utilized to determine the actual number of 2014 Jeep Cherokees sold in the U.S. for the month of November, 2013.
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Old 11-27-2013, 07:45 AM   #13
DealerEx
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I'll go with 6,351...the wild card being that they might dump a bunch to fleet at the last minute is sales aren't high enough.
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Old 11-27-2013, 09:18 AM   #14
chryslersrt8
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I'll go 7423 if fleet is included.
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Old 11-27-2013, 09:27 AM   #15
tnpartsguy
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Default 3737

I'll stick to that. A lot of people that were in market 60~90 days ago when they were supposed to come out went elsewhere.
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